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The Absence of Realism Means Anything Can Happen

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By Paul Craig Roberts

Here are the Russians again wasting their time and energy at US-dominated International organizations by taking their concern with Ukraine’s military attacks on the Zaporozhye nuclear plant to the UN. Why does the Kremlin think that Washington or the UN cares? Why don’t the Russians simply take out the Ukrainian artillery or missile positions that are attacking the nuclear plant? It is extraordinary how capable the Kremlin is of complaining and how incapable it is of acting. A person from another world looking at this could conclude that Russia intends to lose.

I hope that the Kremlin’s bet that the delay in the clearance of Ukrainian forces from Donbass caused by the West’s support of Ukraine wears down the West with its demands rather than Russia. But my concern remains that the longer the time it takes to complete the task the more opportunity there is for the war to widen. As the US and NATO lack the capability of opposing a Russian army, the widened war would become nuclear, which is the last thing a world threatened by many other threats needs

After six months of what should have been a three-day war, it seems unlikely that the Kremlin still thinks it is possible to end the war with the Russian liberation of Donbass. It seems certainly the case that the US and its Zelensky puppet have no such intention of permitting the war to end. Russia will be at war in Ukraine until the Kremlin realizes it has no alternative to the conquest of the entire artificial country and installation of a Russian puppet government instead of an American puppet government. What Washington is really achieving is forcing on a reluctant Putin the reconstruction of the Russian Empire. Its breakup was Washington’s way of destabilizing Russia, a goal that Putin will not accept.

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My factual and truthful reporting makes me unwelcome both in Moscow and in Washington. We have reached the point in human existence where truthful analysis is regarded as an enemy attack. The Kremlin could instantly halt the Ukrainian war and break up NATO and the EU by providing energy only to countries that align with Russia. But this would require the Kremlin to discard its “limited military operation” as a mistake, and it is difficult for governments to admit mistakes.

So the world is trapped. The contending governments have a stake in their miscalculations. They hold on to the miscalculations, and the situation deteriorates.

Paul Craig Roberts is an economist and author. He was the United States Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy under President Ronald Reagan and – after leaving government – held the William E. Simon chair in economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies for ten years and served on several corporate boards. A former associate editor at The Wall Street Journal, his articles have also appeared in The New York Times and Harper’s, and he is the author of more than a dozen books and a number of peer-reviewed papers.

The author graciously has permitted this website to reprint selected essays. All rights are reserved.

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