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By Robin Millard
Negotiators are meeting in Geneva this week to thrash out a pandemic treaty aimed at ensuring the flaws that turned Covid-19 into a global crisis could never happen again. online news
As the third anniversary of the virus emerging rolls around, negotiators are raking over an early concept draft of what might eventually make it into an international agreement on how to handle future pandemics.
“The lessons of the pandemic must not go unlearned,” WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told the negotiating panel at the start of three days of talks, which conclude on Wednesday.
An intergovernmental negotiating body is paving the way towards a global agreement that would regulate how nations prepare for and respond to future pandemic threats.
They are huddled in Geneva for their third meeting, refining and going over their ideas so far.
A progress report will be put before WHO member states next year, with the final outcome presented for their consideration in May 2024.
The dense, 32-page early draft “is a true reflection of the aspirations for a different paradigm for strengthening pandemic prevention, preparedness, response and recovery,” said Tedros.
The so-called conceptual zero draft contains various notions, some of which will have to be developed and others thrown out as negotiators hone down the text ahead of the next meeting in February.
The trick will ultimately be finding the balance between something bold and with teeth, and something all countries can agree to.
Don’t blow this opporunity
“There’s a lot of material currently that probably doesn’t belong in there,” said Pamela Hamamoto, the lead US negotiator.
“There’s a lot that needs to change before we’re going to sign onto it. That is the same for a lot of member states — probably most,” she told reporters.
Hamamoto said Washington wanted to see transparency fixed into the accord, along with better surveillance and rapid response, plus swift and comprehensive data sharing.
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The United States also wants to see more equitable access to medical countermeasures, possibly through regional manufacturing.
“A pretty broadly-held view is that we need to make sure that the process is set up right so… we basically don’t blow this opportunity to put together an accord that is going to be meaningful and implementable,” Hamamoto said.
The Panel for a Global Public Health Convention, an independent coalition of statespeople and health leaders, said the conceptual draft did not go far enough, despite its bright spots.
The panel said more should be done to establish accountability and clear timelines for alert and response to avoid damaging consequences when an outbreak emerges.
Negotiations at crossroads
The medical charity Doctors Without Borders said the negotiations must not overlook the role of clinical trials in any pandemic response.
Mohga Kamal-Yanni, of the NGO coalition People’s Vaccine Alliance, said the draft showed negotiations were “at a crossroads”.
“A treaty could break with the greed and inequality that has plagued the global response to Covid-19, HIV/AIDS and other pandemics. Or, it could tie future generations to the same disastrous outcomes,” she said.
“Governments must resist any attempts to turn a pandemic treaty into another obscene profit opportunity for pharmaceutical companies.”
Three years in, the pandemic still has power to disrupt lives and societies — as seen in the recent unrest in China over lockdowns.
Countries have reported 6.6 million deaths to the WHO, while around 640 million confirmed cases have been registered.
But the UN health agency says this will be a massive undercount.
Global Fund executive director Peter Sands told reporters last month that “having a nice treaty… will have only a partial impact on how effectively we respond”.
He said the world was undoubtedly already better prepared for the next pandemic, but warned: “That doesn’t mean we are well prepared. It just means we’re not as badly prepared as we were before.”
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Notes from APS Radio News
In the US, for example, the average mortality rate of the virus has been .07%, according to Statista.
Statista is an award-winning service that compiles and analyzes various types of data for corporations and governments.
In general, for most age groups, the recovery rate of the virus has been 99%.
Dr. John Ioannidis, a research scientist at Stanford University, has outlined the fatality rates of several age groups, in relation to the virus.
“The real-world risk of dying from COVID-19 based on published data from the Irish census bureau and the central statistics office for 2020 and 2021 is as follows: For people under 70, the death rate was 0.014%; under 50 years of age, it was 0.002%, which equates to a 1 in 50,000 risk, or about the same as dying from fire or smoke inhalation. Under 25 years of age, the mortality rate was 0.00018%, or 1 in 500,000 risk of dying from COVID-19.”
In countries that imposed the harshest lockdowns and restrictions, the number of suicides, instances of drug & alcohol abuse, domestic abuse and instances of deferred medical care increased.
Millions of businesses were shuttered as a result of lockdowns.
In terms of the mRNA vaccine, in countries with high rates of vaccine participation, the number of virus cases has continued to increase.
Whereas August 9, 2021, Iceland had recorded 8,793 virus cases, as of November 28, 2022 Iceland recorded 207,171 virus cases, according to Statista.
Since August 2021, Icelands vaccine participation rate has been in excess of 80%, according to Our World in Data.
According to VAERS and EudraVigilance of the European Medicines Agency, there have been over 7 million adverse events following injections of the mRNA vaccine.